YOU WAIT ELEVEN MONTHS FOR ONE ......

EPL. ASTON VILLA - STOKE CITY

I'm going for the 'London Bus' approach with City today and having waited 11 months for an away EPL win, I think they can get another one today after this win at the Hawthorns last weekend. I've written before... I rarely give City too many compliments, but while they're not exactly easy on the eyes, there's no denying they're extremely difficult to beat. They may have only had one away win in 2012, but there have been plenty of draws and they have lost just three times this season. There was something to learn from each of those defeats. At Chelsea they lasted 86 minutes, at Manchester United they took the lead and scored twice, and at Norwich City they were far superior and lost by a difficult goal. Albion have had a great season so far and have attracted a lot of media attention, but have actually lost one game more than City and it looked like it was all over in the week's 3-1 defeat at Swansea City. after. , where they were sometimes executed piece by piece. They kept just one clean sheet in ten starts against a Southampton side who were really struggling at the time, conceding two or more goals six times in that stretch and suddenly looking unstoppable in defense and needing three goals to win. . City have an incredible record here, unbeaten since 2003 and winning four of their last five visits.

City's record here isn't great, but they have picked up points in three of their last four visits. They have won their last three games and lost just once in seven starts, that unfortunate loss at Norwich, conceding just three goals in that process, today they will miss Charlie Adam who is suspended and a loss, but Peter Crouch could be set up. return and key centre-back Ron Vlaar (13-0-0) again miss Villa, the striker's aerial threat could be key. Goals have always been rare for Villa and in 30 starts they have scored more than once only and have not lost a game (if that makes sense) 27 times by scoring or less. Given how hard it is for City to break, they look good with a minimal start, but I'd be a bit bolder and go for the higher odds and no draw bets. 1.25 Stoke City Level Ball Points 2.26 Asian Line .

 Power.

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